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By Allen
Sykora
"Trading
is the greatest game in the world, but you can't do it on your own."
Those
are the thoughts of Edward Moore, who believes that it's not reasonable
for a novice trader to attend a weekend seminar or read a book and
then expect to make money consistently the following Monday morning.
"That's what seems to be promised out there," he continued.
Instead,
he encouraged novices to find experienced traders to help them learn
the craft over whatever length of time is necessary. With Moore's
own tutorial program, he works with traders for up to a full year
or longer if necessary.
"I
had 15 mentors in my life, and I learned something from each of
them," said this former Wall Street money manager who now teaches
trading from his home in Nev. "You need someone who knows what he
is doing.
"I
spent hundreds of thousands of dollars, because I had to do it better
than most people if I was going to survive. The average person can
do it, but it takes years, and they don't have the time or money
to do it."
He
teaches the S&Ps is a countertrend market. There are 12-15 possible
trades a day. But I only want you to Focus on the 3 or 4 best ones.
During the morning, he will look for trades at retest failures at
retracement levels, in the direction of the prevailing trend. He
considers the afternoon trades more predictable and uses what he
calls "time of day," feeling the market has a tendency to reverse
direction on a predictable time basis.
The
key first, though, is to determine the type of day. "As soon as
you can define the type of day it is, you know where all the good
trades are lining up. If it's a trend-up day, you're buying all
the dips. If it's a trend-down day, you're selling the rallies.
If it's a trading-range day, you are buying and selling tops and
bottoms and taking profits at a 62% retracement."
Moore
also likes the OEX index options because of their limited risk.
One of his favorite strategies is to recommend puts or calls, when
he determines the indexes to be at extremely oversold or overbought
conditions, particularly ahead of some news event. For instance,
he recalled a put position he recommended ahead of Federal Reserve
Chairman Alan Greenspan's infamous "irrational exuberance" speech
a few years ago.
Moore
felt the market was already overbought and wondered to himself:
"What can Greenspan say to make it go any higher?" So he thought
puts.
Greenspan's
speech caused a huge sell-off in global markets and you were able
to profit as a result. But because you were using options, you would
not have been hurt seriously even if the market had gone in the
opposite direction. Since the market was at an extreme, he explained,
you would have only lost a small portion of the options price.
Like
a number of other veteran traders, Moore is willing to share his
techniques with others. But, he said, "it takes anywhere from six
months to a year to become a good S&P trader. You have to be
aware at all times of the big and small pictures. Not only are you
trading a 30-minute chart, but you're dropping down to the five-minute,
one-minute and tick charts to enter the particular trade. Or if
you're trading options, you're trading a 30-minute chart and going
down to the five-minute chart. A lot of things have to come together
at the moment of decision, and it just takes time to master that."
Moore
explained that he takes the time to help a trader differentiate
between types of trades, learning to wait for the potential six-
to 10-point moves, rather than continually taking one-point moves
and immediately getting out of the market.
Moore
said he frequently has people express "total disbelief" when he
tells them to plan on spending 40 to 90 days to learn to trade options,
and six months to a year to learn to trade the S&Ps.
"They
say, `What do you mean--it's going to take six months!'" he continued.
"I say, `How long did it take you to become a lawyer? Three years.
How long did it take you to become a doctor? Eight to 12 years.'
"The
S&P (futures) and options are zero-sum games. That means for
every winner, there is a loser. To beat and win consistently in
the S&P pits and the options, they have to take away money from
guys like me with 38 years of experience.
"And
they (think they) are going to do that in a weekend or by reading
a book?"
He
now lives in a small town between Reno and the California border.
The area is ideal for his favorite hobbies, which include skiing,
fishing, boating and mountain biking. "There are 19 ski areas within
one hour of my home," he added.
Moore
explained that his interest in teaching trading in the S&P and
OEX index increased as volatility rose.
"Up
through 1994, the average S&P daily range was three points or
less," Moore commented. "So you really couldn't make a lot of money
trading....By early 1995, we started trading a six- and seven-point
range, Today over 20 points now, people could start making money."
His
career took a turn when he was invited to be a speaker at a seminar.
After lunch, he continued, one attendee asked him to demonstrate
how he would trade based on three-minute bars on the S&P futures.
"Over
the next 3 1/2 hours, I nailed the vast majority trades on a three-minute
chart, flashing one bar at a time, saying I'm going long here, getting
out here, going short here, getting out here. It was like a speeded-up
version of day trading."
Some
of the students figured Moore could do this only because of his
many years of experience, he continued. "I said, No, I can
trade this way because there is a rhythm in the market.'"
One
of the participants in the class was a university professor, Joe
Conway, who had a doctorate in communications. "He said, `If you
teach me to trade like that, and I'll write a book about your methodology,'"
Moore continued. "Since I did not want to spend the rest of my life
sitting in an office trading alone, I collaborated on the book."
He
then began teaching. One of the benefits, he said, was the opportunity
to meet others with sharp minds that he can exchange ideas with.
He has become good friends with many.
Moore
provides his students two books, "Rhythm of the Markets" and "Option
Magic," as well as past charts, audio and video tapes. After students
digest this, they get access to real-time charts on his web page
(www.rhythmofthemarkets.com), and they can call Moore to discuss
what they are seeing. Eventually, they can trade with Moore for
two days at his Nevada office, with these sessions limited to three
guests at a time. Afterward, students can continue to call Moore
to discuss trades.
Under
the program, a trader could simply follow the signals generated.
But Moore encourages his students to learn how he arrives at the
trades, so they can continue to trade "if something happens to me
tomorrow, like I get hit by a truck." Later, he added, "I want them
to tell me what they should be doing and why they should be doing
it, so they're not just using me as a crutch."
Moore
considers the S&Ps to be mainly an intraday market because of
the leveraged risk that traders carry if they hold a position overnight.
He also does not recommend a large number of S&P contracts at
a time. He recounted how a number of S&P traders were devastated
in the fall of 1998 when they were short and the Federal Reserve
unexpectedly trimmed interest rates one day, sending the index nearly
50 points higher in 10 minutes.
"When
you want to trade multi-day trends, do it with the options."
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